简介：广西大学硕士学位论文泛北部湾区域科技合作模式研究姓名贺思明申请学位级别硕士专业科学技术哲学指导教师蒙绍荣20100601STUDYONFIANTONKINGULFZONEMODELOFSCIENCEANDTECHNOLOGYCOOPERATIONABSTRACTPANNORMEMGULFCOOPERATIONHASBEENPROPOSEDSINCE2006，WHICHHASCARRIEDOUTCOOPERADONINVARIOUSFIELDSOFCOMMUNICATIONITISEFFECTIVEINPROMOTINGAPANNORTHEMGULFOFTECHN0109RECHAJLGEANDSODALDEVEL叩MENTSDENCEANDTECHNOLOGYCOOPERATIONISMEFIRSTELEMENTT0PROMOTEECONOMICCOOPERATIONANDDEVELOPMENT，WMHRECEIVESTRONGSUPPORTANDATTENTIONOFAUPAR矗ESTHISPAPERF6CUSESONMEPANNORTHEMGULFC00PERATIONINSCIENCEA11DTECHNOLO黟THEFIRSTTASKISTOSELECTANDBUILDAREASONABLESCIENCEANDTECHNOLOGYCOOPERA石ONMODELFORMEPANNORMEMGULFCOOPERATION，ANDDEVELOPRELEVANTSCI朗TIFICANDTECHNJCALCOOPERATIONPOLICIESTOPROMOTEECONOMICA11DSODALDEVELOPMENTINMEREGIONTKSPAPERANALYZESME价TEMA丘ONALSCIENTIFICCOOPERATIONMTECHN0109ICALINNOVATIONANDTECHNOLOGY仃ANSFERMEO哪FURMERMDEPMANALYSISAJLDCOMPARISONOFDOMESTIC趴DINTEMATIONALTEDMOLOGYCOOPERA60NMODEL，SUMMARIZEDT11EREGIONALSCIENCEANDTE血10LOGYCOOPERA廿0NMODELBUILDINGMEBASICPRINCIPLESANDFRAMEWORBANDRMNORMBAYAREAONAREGIONALOVEⅣIEWANDSTAMSOFSDENTIFICA11DTECHNOLOGICALCOOPERA石ONT0DOACOMPREHENSIVEANALYSIS，ANDPOINTOUTMEMAINPROBLEMMREGIONALSDENCEANDTECHNOLOGYCOOPERA矗ON，PROPOSEMEBASICIDEAFORFLLTURESCIENTIFICANDTE’HN0109ICALH

简介：河北工业大学博士学位论文基于复杂系统理论的区域协调发展研究姓名王欣菲申请学位级别博士专业管理科学与工程指导教师曾珍香20090601基于复杂系统理论的区域协调发展研究IISTUDYONREGIONALCODINATEDDEVELOPMENTBASEDONCOMPLEXSYSTEMTHEYABSTRACTREGIONALCODINATEDDEVELOPMENTHASBEENSTUDIEDFYEARSDUETOTHEGAPBETWEENCHINASREGIONALECONOMICDEVELOPMENTSCONTINUESTOEXPTHEDEVELOPMENTSOFECONOMICSPOPULATIONBRINGENMOUSPRESSURETORESOURCESENVIRONMENTSOMEPROBLEMSINTHESTUDYONREGIONALCODINATEDDEVELOPMENTARENOTCLEARTHEACADEMICSTUDIESONREGIONALCODINATEDDEVELOPMENTCONTINUALLYINCREASEINTHEVIEWOFCOMPLEXSCIENCETHEMETHODSOFTHELITERATUREANALYSISEMPIRICALRESEARCHCOMPUTERSIMULATIONAREUSEDINTHISDISSERTATIONBASEDONMULTIAGENTMODELINGMETHODSMODELINGSIMULATIONOFREGIONALCODINATEDDEVELOPMENTSYSTEMAREMADETHEDISSERTATIONINCLUDES4PARTSTHEFIRSTPARTISCOMPOSEDOFCHAPTER12WHICHISTHEPARTOFLITERATUREBASICTHEETICRESEARCHTHEBACKGROUNDCONTENTSINNOVATIONOFTHISDISSERTATIONAREINTRODUCEDTHECONCEPTSTHEMECHANISMSTHEEVALUATIONSCOUNTERMEASURESOFREGIONALCODINATEDDEVELOPMENTAREREVIEWEDTHEEXISTINGTHEETICALPRACTICALRESULTSOFREGIONALCODINATEDRESEARCHARESYSTEMATICALLYSUMMEDUPFIVEREPRESENTATIVEDEFINITIONSOFREGIONALCODINATEDDEVELOPMENTARECOMPAREDITISFOUNDTHATTHEUNDERSTINGSOFREGIONALCODINATEDDEVELOPMENTCONSENTTOACERTAINDEGREEBUTTHEREAREALSODIFFERENCESONTHEBASISOFAREVIEWOFTHEDOCUMENTSREGIONALCODINATEDDEVELOPMENTISDEFINEDTHEACTERISTICSEVOLUTIONMECHANISMOFREGIONALCODINATEDDEVELOPMENTAREANALYZEDTHESECONDPARTISCOMPOSEDOFCHAPTER3CHAPTER4CHAPTER5WHICHISTHEPARTOFRESEARCHEMPIRICALSTUDIESTHISDISSERTATIONANALYSESTHESPATIALSTRUCTUREFUNCTIONALSTRUCTUREOFREGIONALCODINATEDDEVELOPMENTSYSTEMTHEREAREFOURFUNCTIONALSUBSYSTEMSINFUNCTIONALSTRUCTUREINCLUDINGPOPULATIONRESOURCESENVIRONMENTECONOMICSTHEFREQUENCYOFSTATISTICALINDICATSISCOUNTEDBYUSINGCNKIDATABASE40KEYINDICATSOFACTERISTICSAREEDSTATISTICALDATAOFBEIJINGTIANJINHEBEIAREPUTINFUNCTIONALSUBSYSTEMSCODINATEDDEVELOPMENTEVALUATIONMODELOFREGIONUSINGPRINCIPALCOMPONENTANALYSISDATAANALYSISSOFTWARES1STOPTSPSSTHEEMPIRICALSTUDYISMADETHEBASICSYSTEMICTIMEACTERISTICSOFTHESPATIALSTRUCTUREAREANALYZEDBASEDONTHEOVERVIEWOF

简介：哈尔滨工程大学博士学位论文国家级高新技术开发区经济发展灰色预测模型研究姓名常城申请学位级别博士专业导航、制导与控制指导教师孙尧20050501哈尔滨工程大学博士学位论文业信息化工程提供了科学的决策依据。建立了大庆高新区制造业信息化工程灰色辅助决策模型。对制造业信息化的信息化研发、信息化管理、信息化生产和其它相关因素等四个方面，通过虚拟现实技术进行模拟，运用各种指标进行评价，并且对评价的结果运用灰色多目标局势决策来进行判定。关键词灰色系统理论；高新技术开发区；预测模型；制造业信息化II

简介：华中科技大学硕士学位论文关于社会经济系统自组织水平评价方法的探讨姓名陈亮申请学位级别硕士专业系统工程指导教师丁烈云20050509IV华中科技大学硕士学位论文ABSTRACTTHETHEORYOFSELFORGANIZATIONISTHESTUDYABOUTTHEPRINCIPLEMECHANISMANDEVOLUTIONOFSYSTEMEMERGENTACTIONTHEDISSIPATEDSTRUCTURETHEORYSYNERGETICSCOULDEXPLAINSOMESELFORGANIZATIONMOTIONSINPHYSICSANDCHEMICALFIELDS,SUCHASTHELASER,BéNARDPHENOMENON,BUTTHEELEMENT,WHICHTHESETHEORIESFOCUSON,ISPASSIVEANDDEAD,ANDDOESN’THAVEITSOWNOBJECTIVEANDINITIATIVE,SOTHESETHEORIESAREDIFFICULTTOBEAPPLIEDTOTHEFIELDSOFBIOLOGY,ECOLOGY,ECONOMY,SOCIETYCOMPLEXADAPTIVESYSTEMCASTHEORYPOINTSOUTTHEELEMENTOFCASHASITS’OWNOBJECTIVEANDINITIATIVETHEEMERGENTWHOLEORDERISJUSTTHERESULTOFLOCALINTERACTIONJUSTBECAUSEOFITSSELFORGANIZATION,CASREPRESENTSVERYPOWERFULADAPTIVITYTOTHEENVIRONMENTANDTHEABILITYOFSUSTAINABLEDEVELOPMENT,SOITSMECHANISMISJUSTTHEONETHEHUMANBEINGS’SOCIALECONOMYSYSTEMSHOULDLEARNFROMINTHISTHESIS,THECASTHEORYWASANALYZEDFIRSTLYTHECONCLUSIONOFTHECONDITION,ESSENCEANDCHARACTERISTICSOFCASSELFORGANIZATIONWASMADETHEN,ANDTHEESSENCEISTHATTHROUGHTHEELEMENTS’PARALLELCOMPUTATION,THESYSTEMISTOFINDTHEOPTIMALVALUEATWHICHTHESYSTEMADAPTITSELFTOTHEENVIRONMENTPERFECTLYTHESOCIALECONOMYSYSTEMISANADAPTIVESYSTEM,ANDITSPURPOSEISTOFINDTHEOPTIMALVALUETHESYSTEMISINTHECONTINUOUSPROCESSOFEVOLUTIONINFACT,JUSTLIKECAS,THESOCIALECONOMYSYSTEMCONSISTSOFAUTONOMOUSELEMENTS,ANDISALSOTOFINDTHEOPTIMALVALUECASREPRESENTSTHEPOWERFULVITALITYANDOUTSTANDINGADAPTIVITYTOTHEENVIRONMENT,WHILETHEHUMANBEINGS’SOCIALECONOMYSYSTEMREPRESENTSDIFFERENTADAPTIVITYCOMPAREDWITHTHECONDITION,ESSENCEANDCHARACTERISTICSOFCASSELFORGANIZATION,THEPROBLEMSOFTHESOCIALECONOMYSYSTEM’SUNSATISFIEDEMERGENTABILITYAREFIGUREDOUTVERYCLEARLYFOLLOWINGTHECONDITION,ESSENCEOFCASSELFORGANIZATION,THEEVALUATIONPARAMETERSANDMODELOFTHESELFORGANIZATIONLEVELOFSOCIALECONOMYSYSTEMWASDISCUSSEDHEREINTHISTHESIS,THREEFIELDSOFTHESOCIALECONOMYSYSTEMWERETHETARGETSOFSTUDY,ANDTHEIREVOLUTIONPROCESSESWEREANALYZEDQUALITATIVELYWITHTHEEVALUATIONMETHODSTHE

简介：重庆大学博士学位论文系统科学理论在区域可持续发展中的应用研究姓名熊德国申请学位级别博士专业采矿工程指导教师鲜学福20040405重庆大学博士学位论文放特别是成为中央直辖市以来的经济发展历程及特点及其人口、资源与生态环境状况用神经网络结合模糊集理论的评价模型对重庆经济发展的可持续性进行了评价，评价结果表明，重庆市可持续发展的总体水平较低，尚处于弱可持续发展阶段。第六章探讨了循环经济的理论及重庆实现循环经济的总体思路。详细论述了循环经济的本质与内涵；分析了循环经济的原则与特点；介绍了国内外实施循环经济的实践与经验；分析了工业生态学在实现循环经济中的作用；最后指出发展循环经济，建立循环型社会是实现可持续发展战略的根本途径，并提出了重庆发展循环经济的总体目标、对策和行动领域及措施。第七章为全文的总结。总结了本文的主要结论和创新点，并对需要进一步研究的问题提出了建议。关键词区域可持续发展系统，模糊神经网络，模糊集理论，消费性生态足迹，生产性生态足迹，循环经济II

简介：湖南大学硕士学位论文生态化技术创新的复杂性思维特征研究姓名胡元清申请学位级别硕士专业科学技术哲学指导教师彭福扬20070510IIABSTRACTTHETRADITIONAL,SIMPLETHINKINGMETHODOLOGYDEVELOPEDBYCOPERNICUS，NEWTONANDDESCARTES,WHICHWASREDUCTIVE,INTERSECTED,ORDERLY,RATIONALANDCONCLUSIVE,HASOVERWHELMEDINTHISFIELDFORALONGTIMEHOWEVERITHASBEENCHALLENGEDANDDOUBTEDINMANYFIELDSINCE20CENTURY,ANDHASBEENUNDERMINEDBYTHEDEVELOPMENTOFMODERNSCIENCEATTHESAMETIME,COMPLEXTHINKINGMETHODOLOGY,BASEDONCYBERNETICS,INFORMATIONTECHNOLOGYANDSYSTEMTHEORY,HASBEENUSEDWIDELYINRESEARCHFIELDANDHASBEENATTACHEDGREATIMPORTANCEBYSCIENTISTSWORDWIDELYANDITISDEVELOPINGGRADUALLY,THEREFORE,21CENTURYISREGARDEDTHECENTURYOFCOMPLEXTHINKINGMETHODOLOGYINTERMSOFTECHNOLOGYINNOVATION,TRADITIONALTECHNOLOGYINNOVATION,INSTRUCTEDBYSIMPLETHINKINGMETHODOLOGY,ALSOHASFACEDBIGCHALLENGETHEORETICALLYANDPRACTICALLYTHEREFORE,NEWTECHNOLOGYINNOVATIONMODELISREQUIREDTOBEFORMED,WHICHSHOULDBESUITABLEFORTHEDEVELOPMENTOFNEWTECHNOLOGYANDSOCIALCONSCIOUSNESSSINCENEWTECHNOLOGYANDSOCIALCONSCIOUSNESSHASBIGGERIMPACTONECONOMICDEVELOPMENTTODAYTHANITDOESINTHEPASTASARESULT,ECOLOGICALTECHNOLOGYINNOVATIONMODELISFORMEDUNDERTHISBACKGROUNDECOLOGICALTECHNOLOGYINNOVATIONFOCUSONECONOMICGROWTH,PUTGREATIMPORTANCEONECOLOGICALBALANCE,SOCIALHARMONYANDCOMPREHENSIVEHUMANBEINGDEVELOPMENTTHROUGHECOLOGICALNATUREINNOVATION,ECOLOGICALSOCIETYINNOVATIONANDECOLOGICALCULTUREINNOVATIONTHEESTABLISHMENTANDDEVELOPMENTOFCOMPLEXTHINKINGMETHODOLOGYAREILLUSTRATEDBASINGONTHEDEFINITIONOFRELEVANTCOMPLEXTHINKINGMETHODOLOGYMOREOVER,THEDISADVANTAGEOFTRADITIONALTECHNOLOGYINNOVATION,INSTRUCTEDBYSIMPLETHINKINGMETHODOLOGYISALSOEXPLAINEDANDTHEOBJECTIVEFOUNDATIONFORTHEDEVELOPMENTOFECOLOGICALTECHNOLOGYINNOVATIONANDCOMPLEXTHINKINGMETHODOLOGYISALSOANALYZEDINTHISARTICLEITISNECESSARYTOANALYZETHEECOLOGICALTECHNOLOGYINNOVATION，WHICHISDIRECTEDBYCOMPLEXTHINKINGMETHODOLOGY,PRACTICALLYANDTHEORETICALLYANDTHEYDEVELOPCLOSELYANDIMPACTEACHOTHERINAGOODCIRCLETHEREFORE,THECORESTANDPOINT,NAMELY,THECOMPLEXTHINKINGCHARACTERISTICOFECOLOGICALTECHNOLOGYINNOVATION,ISPUTFORWARD,ANALYZEDANDILLUSTRATEDTHROUGHTHERELATIONSHIPBETWEENTHEECOLOGICALTECHNOLOGYINNOVATIONANDCOMPLEXTHINKINGMETHODOLOGYTHESTANDPOINTINCLUDE

简介：河北工业大学硕士学位论文河北省科技计划系统动力学模型及实证研究姓名刘玉刚申请学位级别硕士专业技术经济及管理指导教师胡宝民20071101河北省科技计划系统动力学模型及实证研究IISYSTEMDYNAMICSMODELEMPIRICALSTUDYOFSCIENCETECHNOLOGYPROGRAMINHEBEIPROVINCEABSTRACTINRECENTDECADESSCIENCETECHNOLOGYPROGRAMISONEOFTHEIMPTANTPOLICYTOOLOFTHEGOVERNMENTTHEINTENSITYOFINPUTISBEINGINCREASEDLOCALGOVERNMENTSSECONDLYTHECAUSALLINKSTRUCTUREMODELOFREGIONALINNOVATIONSYSTEMUNDERTHELOCALGOVERNMENTSFINALLYWEMAKETHEEMPIRICALSTUDYONTHEBASISOFHEBEIPROVINCETENTHSTFIVEYEARPROGRAMINTHISPAPEREMPIRICALANALYSISISBASEDONTHEDATAOF20012005HEBEIPROVINCESTATISTICALYEARBOOKONSCIENCETECHNOLOGYSTATISTICALYEARBOOKONECONOMICTHEIMPLEMENTATIONOFTENTHSTFIVEYEARPROGRAMWITHTHEHELPOFTHESOFTWAREVESIMTHEPAPERANALYSIZESTHECONDITIONSOFTHEREGIONALINNOVATIONSYSTEMUNDERTHESTPROGRAMINHEBEIPROVINCETRENDSOFECONOMICDEVELOPMENTPREDICTSTHEBEHAVISOFTHEREGIONALINNOVATIONSYSTEMUNDERTHESTPROGRAMINHEBEIPROVINCEATLASTTHEPAPERCOMBINESTHEFACTOFHEBEIPROVINCEPUTSFWARDSOMESUGGESTIONSONPOLICYKEYWDSSCIENCETECHNOLOGYPROGRAMREGIONALINNOVATIONSYSTEMSYSTEMDYNAMICSSUGGESTIONSONPOLICY

简介：复旦大学博士学位论文复杂产品系统创新的风险管理研究姓名段秉乾申请学位级别博士专业管理科学与工程指导教师司春林20061022复里大学瓣圭学经论文复杂产箍系统裁赣静斑陵管理舔究评估的蒙求，创新众业迫切需要一种更为合理的综合评估模型。第六鼙提出了基予㈣方法鹣复杂产品刨凝风验综合谤镳模型。该攘型采用模糊屡次分析法，弥补了传统层次分析法韵不是；有效地整合了概率风除评估模型和模糊风险分析模型，符合风险评估研究的发展趋势。繁七章讨论了复杂产品刨掰豹缓织模式逡择及其在风除控制中戆纷耀。该章从资源理论出发，指出了复杂产蕊合作创新鹩必要性，并避一步提出了项目型复杂产晶创新的组织结构模型。在该模型中，创新成员分为兰个层次，不阎层次的或受在剑耨孛揆演琴藤熬受色。零章论涯7瑷霾型组织不键够有效缝降低复杂产晶的剖新风险，衙且能够提黼创新的效率。第八章为研究结论与展望。全文结会我嚣复杂产品创颞突黢孛出瑗瓣瓣题，详缨缝疆究了复杂产熬剑囊的风除管理，其碍F究结论不但其肖一定的理论意义，而且对我国的复杂产品创新企业也具有一定的储鉴作用。关键满复杂产菇系统菝零傻凝鼹陵霾豢浚鬟最验译貉晟陵管毽Ⅱ

简介：华东师范大学硕士学位论文基于成本收益理论的上海世博经济影响研究姓名肖道刚申请学位级别硕士专业人文地理学指导教师徐长乐20080501ABSTRACTWORLDEXPOISALARGESCALEINTEMATIONALEXHIBITIONWHICHUSUALLYBEHOTSEDBYTHEGOVERNMENTOFACOUNTRYANDMULTICOUNTRIESORINTERNATIONALORGANIZATIONSPARTICIPATEINTHEEXPOTOSHOWTHEACHIEVEMENTSINTHEFIELDSOFSOCIAL，ECONOMIC，CULTURALAND。TECHNOLOGICALEXPOISKNOWNASTHEOLYMPICPAGEANTINTHEFIELDSOFECONOMICTECHNOLOGICALANDCULTURALWHICHCANNOTONLYBRINGDEVELOPMENTOPPORTUNITIES，EXPANDINTERNATIONALEXCHANGESANDCOOPERATION，PROMOTEECONOMICDEVELOPMENTFORPARTICIPATINGCOUNTRIES，BUTALSOCANCREATEGREATECONOMICANDSOCIALBENEFITS，SPREADTHEREPUTATIONPROMOTESOCIALPROSPERITYANDPROGRESSTOTHEAMPHI时ON2010SHANGHAIWORLDEXPOISONEOFOPPORTUNITIESFORSHANGHAI’SECONOMICDEVELOPMENT，WHICHHASAPOSITIVEEFFECTONTHEBUILDINGOFINTERNATIONALMETROPOLISANDINTERNATIONALECONOMICFINANCIAL，TRADEANDSHIPPINGCENTEROFSHANGHAIEXPOIMPACTSTHEHOSTCOUNTRIESANDCITIESBYEXPOECONOMYASALLECONOMICACTIVITY，YOUHAVETORESEARCHTHECOSTSANDBENEFITSIFYOUWANTTESEARCHEXPOANDITHASIMPORTANTPRACTICALSIGNIFICANCEONHOWTOREDUCECOSTSANDIMPROVEEFFICIENCYEXPANDITSPOSITIVEECONOMICIMPACTREDUCEITSNEGATIVEEFFECTSN璩CONTENTOFTHEPAPERISDIVIDEDINTOFOURPARTS111EFIRSTCHAPTERINTRODUCESTHERESEARCHBACKGROUND，RESEARCHMETHODS，THEINNOVATIONANDLACKSOFTHEPAPERCHAPTERIIREVIEWSTHETHEORIESOFEXPOECONOMYANDINTRODUCESTHECONCEPT，CHARACTERISTICS，ECONOMICVALUECOMPOSITIONANDTHECOSTBENEFITANALYSISOFWORLDEXPOCHAPTERIIIANALYZESTHECOSTSANDBENEFITSOFTHE2010SHANGHAIWORLDEXPOBYUSINGCOSTBENEFITSMETHODCHAPTERIVANALYSESTHEECONOMICIMPACTSTOSHANGHAIOF2010SHANGHAIWORLDEXPOBYANALYZINGCOSTSANDBENEFITSOF2010SHANGHAIWORLDEXPO，IFINDTHATITCALLACHIEVELITTLESURPLUSIFMARKETEXPLOITWELLANDONLYCALCULATINGTHECOSTSDURINGTHEPERIODOFWORLDEXPOOPERATION；BUTIFCALCULATETHECOSTSOFALLOCATIONCONSTRUCTIONANDCORRELATIVEINFRASTRUCTUREITWILLGETDEFIDTTHEIMPACTSTOSHANGHAICITYOF2010SHANGHAIWORLDEXPOINCLUDEPOSITIVEIMPACTSANDNEGATIVEIMPACTS11HEPOSITIVEIMPACTSINCLUDEDIRECTANDINDIRECTEFFECTSTHEDIRECTIMPACTSARECOMPRISEOFDIRECTLYSTIMULATINGECONOMICGROWTHPROMOTTINGJOBGROWTHPROMOTTINGTHEDEVELOPMENTOFRELATEDINDUSTRIES，IMPROVINGINFRASTRUCTURE，IMPROVINGTHEGOVERNANCEABILITIES，PROMOTINGCITYCULTURE，ENHANCETHECITYSIMAGEANDCREATINGMOREOPENENVIRONMENTINDIRECTLYAFFECTSCONSISTOFPROMOTINGREGIONALECONOMIC

简介：中图分类号Q211窆UDC510硕士学位论文学校代码笾3三密级公珏基于灰色系统理论的湖南省经济产业结构研究THEECONOMICSTIUCNLREINHUNANPROVINCEBASEDONTHEGRAYSYSTEMTHEO巧作者姓名汪琳学科专业概率论与数理统计研究方向数理金融学院系、所数学与统计学院指导教师唐立副指导教师论文答辩日期趁臣』晕答辩委员会主毒型重至二，、中南大学2013年01月基于灰色系统理论的湖南省经济产业结构研究摘要二十一世纪，受到世界金融危机的空前大挑战，经济成为全球关注的中心，经济产业结构是其包含的一项重要内容。同时一个地区的经济产业结构对当地经济的发展具有十分重要的意义，也是一个和谐社会稳定发展的重要因素之一。灰色系统理论在经济的运行和科学研究中具有很大的使用价值以及广泛的应用前景，在分析少数据特征的现象前提上，发现少数据、少信息背景下事物的变化规律，以此提供依据为促进产业经济合理布局和资源优化利用等。本文从研究湖南省经济产业着手，讨论了湖南省经济和产业结构的现状，运用0CGM1，1系统灰预测对今后几年经济的产值和产业结构进行了预测，并在此基础上利用灰色关联分析和主成分分析研究了第一、二、三产业之间的内在关系与相互影响因素，之后利用灰色发展决策对湖南省经济产业结构进行了决策分析，以此把握湖南省经济产业结构的发展方向，并提出了产业结构的优化建议。还将OCGM1，1预测模型和一般的GM1，1预测模型的预测结果进行了比较与分析，结果显示前者比后者在预测精度上有明显优势。论文中的数据来源于中国统计年鉴和湖南省统计年鉴。同时，本文的撰写希望能对湖南省经济产业结构的分析、研究、预测与决策工作提供依据。在本文的写作过程中，用产值来衡量经济产业结构的变化，用数据来说明问题。论文从实际情况出发，合理运用灰色系统理论、多元统计分析以及计量经济学等多种学科知识，是理论与实际的结合体。图11幅，表25个，参考文献60篇。关键词经济产业结构；灰色系统预测；关联分析；灰色决策分类号02119II